Shamoozal.com - Smorgas Board

Nebraska! Hahahaha Loving this right now! Gotta love a team who doesn't let up and just keeps pouring it on.

_________________

An old fashion beating right there all the way to the bank. Since I likely won't be betting Saturday with the wedding and all I'm joinging in on the UConn wagon. I got them at -5 and see this being a two-score game. UConn struggled early in the season, but seems to have turned things around. Rutgers is simply OK and may struggle to score points. Let's keep the winning going boys!

_________________
PhillySports Blogs: We know Philly. We know sports.

To keep my mind on something other than the wedding I put a small play on the Minn-Car hockey game that started at noon. I went with the under of 5.5 figuring they are playing for the second straight day and may be slower than yesterday. Plus I like the goalies to bounce back from game 1. Totally a random play, haha.

_________________
PhillySports Blogs: We know Philly. We know sports.

looking good so far. Tied 1-1 with 13 to go in the 3rd

_________________

The hots streak continues. I'm not sure if I'm just getting lucky or I actually figuring a few things out. The tired legs proved true.

_________________
PhillySports Blogs: We know Philly. We know sports.

Bull's wedding is today so I'm not really paying attention to what games are going on, but if I have had to pick, these are the games I would look at:

Ohio State / Indiana Over - 58

SOUTHERN MISS -8 East Carolina (Southern Miss is nasty at home)

ALABAMA -7 South Carolina (Spurrier is an idiot and ruined any confidence his quarterback's had)

GEORGIA -11 Tennessee

_________________

I need to stop betting over/unders... I took the under of 42 on PSU/Illinois and the over of 65 on Michigan/Michigan St.

_________________
- Oh, great. You killed the invisible swordsman!
-- He's dead, all right.
--- How was I supposed to know where he was?
- You were supposed to fire up. _We_ both fired _up_.

Jeff, I could use ur thoughts on tonight's UCF-Marshal game. UCF is favored by 5.5 which seems way to low considering they are 3-2 and Marshall has been a mess at 1-4. All of the stats point to UCF here, including them winning the last seven games at Marshall. Then add in these trends I found.
UCF is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

It really looks like UCF is the play here. The problem is when everything is going for one side, the other side usually wins. This is how Vegas makes a living. Then again look at Nebraska last week. We both rode that to success. Is UCF the play here or is Vegas just realing people in?

_________________
PhillySports Blogs: We know Philly. We know sports.

UCF has the best defense in Conference USA and Marshall has never beat UCF. Gotta go with the UCF defense tonight. I'll be joining you aboard the UCF train.

_________________

Good let's clean up the mess that happened to you on Saturday.

_________________
PhillySports Blogs: We know Philly. We know sports.

Also, have you seen the Ohio State-Wisc line? I know you have been all over OSU this season. That line is at -4. I know the game is on the road against a good team but -4 seems low to me. Will you be making a play on this one?

_________________
PhillySports Blogs: We know Philly. We know sports.

You guys are looking good. UCF just returned a INT for a TD. Their up 28-7.

_________________

Nice good win last night. See if we can back it up tonight.

_________________
PhillySports Blogs: We know Philly. We know sports.

I like WVU to cover -10 tonight. USF has never one on Thursday night football and I don't see that changing today. The weather could make things a bit sloppy but I don't see that slowing WVU enough to keep them from covering.

I also like the under in the Kansas-Kansas State as both teams will come out conservative. But I just can't bring myself to bet unders in football games.

_________________
PhillySports Blogs: We know Philly. We know sports.

I'm on board with WVU. The USF defense is decent, but the offense is so bad that I don't think it matters. West Virginia's rushing attack will tire out the USF defense, plus their QB is playing well right now so I like WVU by 17 tonight.

I'm tempted to take Kansas St. tonight. After getting destroyed by Nebraska, I think they come out and beat a terrible Kansas team easily. I'm not sure I agree with the under and was actually looking at the over.

_________________

The favorite has won and covered the last seven times in this matchup, so that points to Kansas State. I think the line is so close because of Kansas State's play last week has betters thinking they suck. Last week was just evidence of how good Nebraska is.

_________________
PhillySports Blogs: We know Philly. We know sports.

Going with both the favorites. I'm a little concerned that Devine is banged up for WVU, but I don't think it's really going to matter who runs the ball tonight.

_________________

We cleaned up last night with a WVU K-State sweep. The weekday roll continues. I have some interest in Louisville-Cincinnati tonight but haven't looked at it too close yet. Right now I am leaning towards Cincinnatin on the road getting 3.

_________________
PhillySports Blogs: We know Philly. We know sports.

I can't decide which team I like, but I think it will be a shootout so I'm going with the over.

_________________

Let's hope for Cincinnati and the over so we both walk away winners once again.

_________________
PhillySports Blogs: We know Philly. We know sports.

First time we're going with different picks this week. I hope Cinci scores like Kansas St did last night.... hahaha. I'm a little concerned that the over/under has fallen from 59 to 56, but I still think this game will be high scoring. I'll say Cinci 35 - Louisville - 24.

_________________

Doesn't matter what we pick because we're getting it done either way. No wedding today so I'm back and focused after what turned out to be some bad picks last week:

I like a bunch of ACC Teams today so I'll list those first:

MIAMI -19.5 Duke

CLEMSON -14.5 Maryland

NC STATE -7.5 East Carolina (That Defense will DOMINATE East Carolina today)

FLORIDA ST. -22 Boston College (Boston College STINKS)

Last, but not least..... I'm back aboard the Ohio St. FREIGHT TRAIN because they are going to run right over Wisconsin tonight.

OHIO ST -4 Wisconsin

Pryor is a much better QB this year and will show it tonight. Don't forget about that defense either.

Bonus Pick:

I'll be down in Philly today for some Flyers tailgate action where Temple is playing across the street at the Linc so I'll be taking those sons of bitches:

TEMPLE -20 Bowling Green

_________________

I'm surprised to see Nebraska nt on your list. I was hesistant about them and the spread but the more I thought about it the only reason I felt that way is because of Texas' name. An you don't bet on names you bet ion results. That said I am with you on Clemson (Maryland is awful this season and NC State (don't understand that spread).

South Carolina -5 over Kentucky: I think the bookies are way overthinking this one. They are looking at Kentucky playing Auburn well and expecting a letdown from SC. I think SC's offense is way too good for Kentucky to keep up with. I see this being a two score game at the very least.

Nebraska -9.5 over Texas: As stated above Nebraska is just too good this year and the demons of the past against Texas will be exericesed.

NC State -7.5 over East Carolina: East Carolina beats up on bad team. East Carolina gets beat up by good teams. NC State falls in that second catagory.

Clemson -14.5 over Maryland: The hook in this game scares me, but Clemson is flat out better.

_________________
PhillySports Blogs: We know Philly. We know sports.

You explained that NC State game perfectly and that's why I took it. East Carolina has a GREAT OFFENSE..... against BAD TEAMS. I don't know why people don't understand this. NC State is not a BAD TEAM and I still don't feel like they are getting any respect. This is why I say their defense will go out with something to prove today.

I was actually going to pick Nebraska, but picked Temple as a bonus since I'll be down there today. You're right, everybody thinks Texas is still the TEXAS of old and they aren't. Nebraska's defense is too good and will shut all these analysts up.

I was sour on Spurrier last week because of his QB tirade, but I guess he knows how to push the right buttons because they got the job done. Kentucky!? Give me a break, South Carolina by 17 in this game. Earlier in the year, I said South Carolina was the real deal and by god, they are proving me right.

_________________

You guys made great logical points in a bunch of games....unfortunately college football teams are ridiculously inconsistent.
I'm just glad I wasn't around this morning to make the same bets ha ha

_________________
- Oh, great. You killed the invisible swordsman!
-- He's dead, all right.
--- How was I supposed to know where he was?
- You were supposed to fire up. _We_ both fired _up_.